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The balanced portfolio – which typically allocates 60% of assets toward stocks and 40% to fixed income –could use a rethink in today's higher rate environment, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. "For 30 years, fixed income was a hedge," said Rieder, the asset manager's global chief investment officer of fixed income, in a phone call with CNBC. A 60/30/10 split Rather than a 60/40 split toward equities and fixed income, Rieder said he would consider a 60/30/10 allocation if he had to build a balanced portfolio. That is, he'd maintain a 60% allocation toward stocks, but keep 30% of the portfolio in "higher income, shorter duration" assets. In addition to AAA-rated CLOs, Rieder also likes European investment-grade credit as a U.S. dollar investor.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Jerome Powell, Rieder, Jared Woodard Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, AAA, Bank of, CLOs Locations: Central
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailService inflation is still too high for the Fed: BlackRock's Rick RiederBlackRock CIO of global fixed income, Rick Rieder, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to share his outlook on markets, rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Rick Rieder
To guard against stubborn inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates, investors should focus on quality companies with high pricing power and adjust their duration risk in bonds, according to Wall Street strategists and portfolio managers. Pricing power Companies with high pricing power tend to outperform when inflation is elevated because they have the ability to defend their profit margins by passing along higher costs to their end market customers. "In equities, you should prefer companies that have pricing power, i.e. "When inflation is the predominant risk in markets, correlations between stocks and traditional bonds tend to be high. BlackRock's iShares strategy team recently argued that investors should take advantage of spikes in bond yields while they can and reinvest their cash.
Persons: Stocks, Brad Conger, Sonu Varghese, Jason Pride, Pride, Rick Rieder Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Callaghan, Co, Big Tech, Carson Group, Securities, U.S ., Glenmede Trust Locations: Hirtle, BlackRock
BlackRock's Rick Rieder expects 1.5-2% real growth this year
  + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBlackRock's Rick Rieder expects 1.5-2% real growth this yearRick Rieder, BlackRock CIO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the bond market, his Fed outlook and the broader markets.
Persons: Rick Rieder Organizations: BlackRock CIO
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Virtus’ Joe Terranova, Hightower’s Stephanie Link and BlackRock's Rick RiederRick Rieder, BlackRock CIO, Virtus’ Joe Terranova and Hightower’s Stephanie Link, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the bond market, their Fed outlook and the broader markets.
Persons: Virtus ’ Joe Terranova, Hightower’s Stephanie Link, Rick Rieder Rick Rieder Organizations: Virtus ’, BlackRock
BondBloxx is set to debut three new funds on Thursday: BBB Rated 1-5 Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBS) , BBB Rated 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBI) and BBB Rated 10+ Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBL). Bonds rated BBB or an equivalent are considered the last rung of investment grade credit. Tony Kelly, co-founder of BondBloxx, said BBB credit is the "not-so-secret sauce" for active managers trying to beat credit benchmarks. Of course, economic downturns are always a concern for corporate credit. This is not unusual for corporate bond funds since banks and other financial institutions issue a lot of short-term debt, but it does suggest that the funds could have some concentration risk.
Persons: Bonds, Rick Rieder, Tony Kelly, BondBloxx, Kelly, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin Organizations: BBB, Corporate, New York Life Investments, Reserve Locations: BondBloxx
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt always looks like a soft landing before a hard landing, says Solus' Dan GreenhausDan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative and Nicole Webb, Wealth Enhancement Group, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss BlackRock's Rick Rieder's expectations for the market.
Persons: Solus, Dan Greenhaus Dan Greenhaus, Nicole Webb, Rick Rieder's Organizations: Wealth
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBlackRock's Rick Rieder doesn't believe the economy is falling off a cliffRick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed's next move and the economy.
Persons: Rick Rieder doesn't, Rick Rieder Organizations: BlackRock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with BlackRock's Rick Rieder on bonds, rates and economic outlookRick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed's next move and the economy.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Rick Rieder Organizations: BlackRock
BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder thinks the Federal Reserve should start enacting small rate cuts in the middle of 2024, later than the current market pricing suggests. He said market expectation of a March rate cut is "over the top." Market pricing indicated about a 60% chance of a rate cut starting March next year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "I don't think the economy is falling off a cliff. I don't think I don't believe that we're going to have a significant recession," he said.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, it's Organizations: BlackRock, Reserve
BlackRock Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income Rick Rieder said investors underestimate actively managed fixed income exchange-traded funds. He told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week that one of his firm's newest fixed income funds, the BlackRock Flexible Income ETF (BINC), has outperformed peers because its allocations are based on current market opportunity. "The beauty of this active ETF is we can move around and take advantage of where the opportunity is," said Rieder, who manages roughly $2.6 trillion in fixed income assets. "I think active ETFs in fixed income, people underestimate." U.S. high yield credit follows at nearly 17%, then U.S. investment grade credit at approximately 14% of total allocations.
Persons: Rick Rieder, CNBC's, Rieder, BINC, Organizations: BlackRock, Bond Locations: BlackRock, Brazil, Mexico, Europe
BlackRock's Rick Rieder said this week that while the economy is slowing, he believes it can rebound. "I call the U.S. economy, the polyurethane economy because it flexes, adjusts like a Tempur-Pedic bed. It can take some pretty significant shots, and it just rebounds," Rieder told CNBC's "ETF Edge" on Monday. Rieder, who also oversees BlackRock's Global Allocation team, thinks that people are still going to buy equities despite the current demand for Treasury bonds. I don't think so, but I think equities will do their job.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, CNBC's, I've Organizations: BlackRock's, Treasury Locations: U.S, Europe
ETF Edge: What's the year-end investment outlook?
  + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge: What's the year-end investment outlook? CNBC’s Bob Pisani on ‘ETF Edge’ with BlackRock's Rick Rieder discuss investing in a world with five percent interest rates.
Persons: Bob Pisani, Rick Rieder
BlackRock global fixed income CIO Rick Rieder said Friday that this year's bond market volatility has created opportunities to buy high quality yields on the cheap. The result is his new fund outperforming some of the biggest bond ETFs during the most recent sell-off. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and 2.2% for the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) , the two biggest bond ETFs. BINC 1M mountain BlackRock's BINC has held up better than major bond ETFs over the past month. "I think what people underestimate is the long end of the bond market, the 30-year Treasury, is about the same volatility as the stock market," he said.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, We've Organizations: BlackRock, Rieder, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Bond Market, CNBC, Treasury, Corporate Bond Fund, Fed, AAA, Mortgage, SEC Locations: BlackRock, Mexico, Brazil, Japan, iShares, United States, U.S
Watch CNBC's full interview with BlackRock's Rick Rieder
  + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BlackRock's Rick RiederRick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the interest rate outlook, competition between bonds and stocks, and more.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder Rick Rieder
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBlackRock's Rick Rieder: The Fed will start cutting rates in the second half of 2024Rick Rieder, BlackRock senior managing director, and Rebecca Patterson, Council for Economic Education board chair, join CNBC's Deliver Alpha 2023 to talk the current rate hiking cycle, the state of the markets, what's ahead for the Federal Reserve and more.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rebecca Patterson Organizations: BlackRock, Economic Education, CNBC's, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should be done hiking rates, says BlackRock's Rick RiederRick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the interest rate outlook, competition between bonds and stocks, and more.
Persons: Rick Rieder Rick Rieder
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Talks: BlackRock's Rick Rieder on what's worrying him most about the financial marketsCNBC'S Michael Santoli is joined by Rick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, at the 13th annual Delivering Alpha conference to discuss potential headwinds and tailwinds for investors for the last quarter of 2023.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Michael Santoli Organizations: Alpha
NEW YORK — When the bond chief of the world's biggest asset manager looks at the U.S. right now, he sees a lot to like. A combination of resilient government, corporate and consumer spending, improving homebuilder data, $1.5 trillion in excess savings and low unemployment tell BlackRock's Rick Rieder that the American economy is faring better than many expected. "I think the U.S. economy's in much better shape than people give [it] credit" for, Rieder said Tuesday at an event at BlackRock's New York headquarters. Talk of a pending recession has been building as the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate increases ripple through the economy. "When people talk about, 'We're going to a recession or a deep recession,' it's pretty unusual [or] almost impossible when you have an unemployment rate of 3.4%," Rieder said.
BlackRock's Rick Rieder predicts the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by a quarter point on Wednesday and then stop. Tuesday kicks off the Fed's two-day meeting, which will culminate in a rate decision announced at 2 p.m. The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee has been hiking rates since March 2022 in a bid to cool higher prices. "I don't think there's tangible pressure on the U.S. economy," Rieder said. Rieder is confident in the overall market, but he is in the camp that "the economy can move into a technical recession."
Shares of First Republic dropped more than 40% in pre-market trading today, while JPMorgan stock ticked 2.9% higher. Let's check in on Russia's wartime economy. To the surprise of many forecasters, Russia's economy has held up better than expected as it carries on into the second year of its war on Ukraine. And leaked documents, first reported by the Washington Post, suggest that Russia can fund its war for at least another year. Specifically, US intelligence says Moscow can rely on its sovereign wealth fund to help pay for its war efforts, as well as higher corporate taxes and ramped-up imports.
"My sense is there's still some volatility that's going to play through the financial system." "You've got clearly some additional economic contraction coming from a banking system that is going to pull back on some lending." I think spreads got too tight and I think the market was a little overzealous in all assets," Rieder said. Prior to the failure of Silicon Valley and Signature Bank, Rieder had anticipated the yield would range between 3.50% and 4.25%. Rieder expects the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point and could hike again by another 25 basis points before stopping.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data published on Tuesday shows that speculators held the largest net short position in three-month 'SOFR' rate futures since September, and the biggest net short 10-year Treasuries futures position since 2018. While they trimmed their net short 2-year Treasuries futures position, it was only a reduction of around 5% from the record short a couple of weeks earlier. They trimmed their two-year futures net short to 656,575 contracts - two weeks prior they were net short 696,686 contracts, a record. chartA short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. In bonds and interest rates, yields and implied rates fall when prices rise, and move up when prices fall.
BlackRock's Rick Rieder said the 60/40 portfolio should be flipped to 40% stocks, 60% bonds this year, and that international stocks should outperform U.S. equities. Rieder, chief investment officer for global fixed income at the world's largest asset manager, said he finds U.S. stocks less interesting relative to bonds. Both stocks and bonds were sharply lower, and the traditional benefits of one asset class hedging the other did not work. International stocks over U.S. equities International stocks could also outpace U.S. stock. I like some the global equities a lot more than the U.S." He also is looking to global fixed income markets.
BlackRock's Rick Rieder said the fixed income market should be less volatile in 2023 and investors should have a chance to recover a good bit of this year's losses. I think this is a generational point for fixed income, around where you can buy quality income without taking a lot of convexity, credit, illiquidity risk." But for stock investors, fixed income poses a challenge. "The marginal dollar has to go into those fixed income assets," he said. Rieder said fixed income investors still face risks, such as defaults and downgrades, but they should see positive returns next year.
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